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Wave Analysis by InstaForex

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for September 16, 2020

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Technical Market Outlook:
Another Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern on H4 time frame has made the market to reverse at the level of 1.1899 and hit the level of 61% Fibonacci retracement located at 1.1822 again. The bulls were unable to break through the retracement located at the level of 1.1912 and the rally was reversed. The bulls are still trying to resume the rally, but the level of 1.1912 has not been violated yet. Any intraday breakout below the level of 1.1813 will accelerate the sell-off towards the level of 1.1753 again, so it is worth to keep an eye on the next developments. The weekly trend remains up,

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2085
WR2 - 1.1993
WR1 - 1.1923
Weekly Pivot - 1.1829
WS1 - 1.1753
WS2 - 1.1670
WS3 - 1.1589

Trading Recommendations:
On the EUR/USD pair the main trend is up, which can be confirmed by almost 10 weekly up candles on the weekly time frame chart and 4 monthly up candles on the monthly time frame chart. Nevertheless, weekly chart is recently showing some weakness in form of a several Pin Bar candlestick patterns at the recent top. This means any corrections should be used to buy the dips until the key technical support is broken. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.1445. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.2555.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Elliott wave analysis of GBP/JPY for September 17, 2020

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Technical Market Outlook:
GBP/JPY remains locked inside the sideways consolidation between 135.41 and 136.59 and we will need a break out of this consolidation-area for the next meaningfull move. We prefer a break above resistance at 136.59, but the longer GBP/JPY stays locked inside this sideways consolidation, the risk for a break below support at 135.41 rises for a final spike towards 133.87.

A break above 136.59 will confirm that red wave iv/ has completed and red wave v/ to above 142.72 is in motion.
R3: 137.10
R2: 136.60
R1: 136.06
Pivot: 135.90
S1: 135.75
S2: 135.50
S3: 135.25

Trading recommendation:
We are long GBP from 135.55 and we will move our stop to 135.35

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Forecast for USD/JPY on September 18, 2020

The USD/JPY pair retested the trend line from below and continued to decline on Thursday. The yen lost 21 points, but today there is a correction in the Asian session. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is reversing to the upside, which indicates the price's intention to continue doing so until the evening or Monday. After the correction is completed, the price can fall to the previously indicated target of 103.75.

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The price formed a short convergence with the Marlin oscillator on the four-hour chart, this is a sign of the upcoming sideways price movement. There will probably be no strong movements in the market until the beginning of next week.

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Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Forecast for AUD/USD on September 21, 2020

The dollar index strengthened by 0.10% on Friday, it was enough for the overbought Australian to fall by 22 points (-0.30%). The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has sharply turned down and penetrated the zone of negative values, although it is trying to go back up at the moment. We assume this is the effect of price fluctuations. We expect the price to overcome the first target of 0.7249 (September 10 low) and continue to fall to the second target of 0.7110 (August 12 low).

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The price fluctuates around the balance and MACD indicator lines on the four-hour chart. On the technical side, this means waiting for another impulse from the external market. The Marlin oscillator turned into a new wave of decline from the border of the growth area, which is a leading sign of a market reversal.

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We are waiting for the technical signals to be confirmed. This will probably not happen until Tuesday.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

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