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Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: October 4, 2017

The EUR/USD bounced back after the report for wholesale price inflation came in better than expected. As the yields provided some support which made the single European currency to gain more attraction in relation to the US dollar, with the continuous boiling of the Catalonian issues.
The greenback was able to sustain its gains due to a stronger than expected results of same-store sales, as it jumped almost to 5%.

The euro-dollar pair rebounded yesterday, followed by testing of the support region at 1.1661 area near the August lows. The pair’s resistance touched the 1.1822 level which is close to the 10-day moving average. Whence, the 10-day moving average moved beneath the 50-day moving average which indicates a downtrend in the medium-term in place.

Moreover, the momentum preserved its negative position while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram is printing in the red accompanied by a descending trajectory. This further shows that exchange rate became lower.
Andrea ForexMart, Official Representative
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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: October 10, 2017

The markets are generally dull yesterday in spite the Cable pair moved higher during the daytime trading session. Both Canada and the United States is a holiday and liquidity is expected to be low during the entire day, while Japan is a holiday as well. However, the bulls active in the pound market took advantage of the low liquidity in pushing the prices upwards.

Meanwhile, the British pound continues to struggle in the sluggish data causing the Bank of England to keep on hold in the near term. During the BoE’s meeting in the previous month, there are possibilities that the central bank would raise its rates in December this year, but the impact of political risks and weaker data prompt them to be on hold.

The Brexit process is excluded from the issues of political uncertainties rather the extension of the UK Prime Minister Theresa May from her position.

Currently, PM May is urging to resign even by her own party and it remains unclear how she will handle this issue as well as to maintain the focus on processing the Brexit referendum.

Moreover, there is a rising issue about the no-deal in the euro area which could negatively affect the Britain’s economy.

If these factors were combined, it could probably keep the GBP in the pressured area. For today, the UK manufacturing production data is scheduled to be released from the United States. When the liquidity became stable again, it is expected that the greenback will continue to decline but will support the GBP/USD pair to ascend.
Andrea ForexMart, Official Representative
ForexMart
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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: October 13, 2017

The GBP/USD pair keep on trading in an up and down direction which seems directionless, by the weakness of the U.S dollar helps the Cable pair to boost amid this period.

The struggle of the British currency continues due to the risks linked with the Brexit process, however, the dollar weakening appeared to be massive which affected others in moving up over the greenback. Until now, the Brexit process is ongoing but it remains to be seen any major development.

The delay in the talks continues while other discussion also does not provide any progress so far. This trigger doubts if Brexit talks could possibly break down and further led to question if the United Kingdom will depart from the European Union even without any accomplished deal. This could be the possible thing to happen at this particular moment, which further resulted in lot of uncertainty.

Moreover, the position of PM Theresa May seems to be threatened since last week because most of her party are against her leadership technique. Albeit, she was able to surpass such mess, she remains involved in a complicated scenario. These combined events pushed the sterling pound under pressure but the weakening of the dollar made it acceptable.

Ultimately, the retail sales and CPI data from the United States are scheduled today while the United Kingdom has no major data for this day. These set of data should be monitored carefully by market participants because inflation is considered a major parameter by the Federal Reserve, particularly, in making the decision about the rate hike in December. In case the figures showed strong data, the GBPUSD is expected to wane.
Andrea ForexMart, Official Representative
ForexMart
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EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: October 17, 2017

The euro bucks pair failed to gain strength during the trading session on Monday, followed by expectations to drive higher amid sluggish US data issued on Friday. While the retail sales showed robust data as well, however, the CPI resulted to a lower than anticipated figures. This caused the EURUSD to test the 1.1870 range high but the pair continuously moved lower since that period.

The EUR/USD weakened until the end of the trading course last Friday and the activity happened yesterday was a mere continuation of that previous trend. On one side, the U.S. dollar was able to acquire further strength since there are no any hints about the next missile launch from North Korea sooner or later, but the markets are still expecting for such motion. Moreover, this supported the greens to stir gradually and firmly across the board in the morning. The momentum ascends during the American hours with a high possibility that John Taylor would replace Janet Yellen for the position as Fed Chair. Taylor is known to be hawkish and very supportive of Fed rate increase. He is also favored by President Trump as the hawkishness helped the USD to perk up versus its counterpart currencies. Also, this has pushed the pair downwards below the 1.1780 mark as of this writing.

Ultimately, the Germany ZEW economic sentiment is scheduled to release today and no other major news both from the European Union and the United States.

The strength of the greenbacks is predicted to resumed this day as the pair eventually turns towards the range lows at 1.1700 mark.
Andrea ForexMart, Official Representative
ForexMart
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